When times are good the economy is strong and everyone has more money to spend. So is there any relationship between consumer spending and the stock market?
A new research paper suggests there is and provides a novel way of measuring consumer spending on a daily basis. Instead of looking at more traditional measures (such as personal income or consumer sentiment) the paper focuses on box office earnings. Read more »
One of the hardest things to do in investing is to buy the market as it makes yet another new high.
Intuitively it makes little sense. The only way to profit in the stock market is to sell something for more than you paid for it so why would you buy something that has been going up for the last eight years? Read more »
Some investors focus on momentum stocks. Some look for value. Contrarian traders search out for the most hated or worst performing stocks.
Recently, I came across the following graphic from Bloomberg which shows the 2017 performance of the 10 most shorted stocks in Asia: Read more »
The Money Flow Index indicator (MFI) is an oscillator that uses price and volume to measure momentum. It’s also known as a volume-weighted RSI and can be used in a similar way.
In this article I will be testing a strategy that I found on a popular trading website. Read more »
Position sizing is an important topic but many investors don’t give it much thought.
In this article I will look at a method that uses the RSI indicator to size positions. This means we can buy more when the price is low and buy less when the price is high. Read more »
The month of August was characterized by a lack of direction across many of the major stock market indices. Despite any notable trend, several of our premium trading strategies were able to profit and put in a solid month of results. Read more »
Humans have been trying to time the stock market with fancy indicators since the beginning of time. But do they work? In this article I test five different market timing indicators. They are:
- Coppock Curve
- Zweig Breadth Thrust
- Arms Index (TRIN)
- McClellan Oscillator
- No. Of New 52-Week Lows
These market indicators are all available with my historical database from Norgate Data. Read more »
It has now been 16 years since the horrific attacks on the twin towers. A day which changed the world and had a profound impact on millions of people.
I remember very clearly what I was doing that day and I’m sure that you do too. It was a day that I will never forget.¹ Read more »
It’s a fair assumption that managers will have a better insight into the financial state of the company they’re running than outside investors. A manager will act and make decisions that are based around what they perceive the outlook for that company to be.
It’s also assumed that when a company makes a corporate action, such as a share buyback, a merger, a dividend or an equity issue, as soon as it’s announced, the market factors that into the price to reflect the potential long term impact of the decision. Read more »
Ray Dalio says that every time he learns something new or makes a mistake in the markets he writes it down so that he can go over it later and learn from it.
I’ve been doing something similar and it does help keep a record of things. Here’s a list of the most important trading lessons that I have learnt over the years. Read more »