When times are good the economy is strong and everyone has more money to spend. So is there any relationship between consumer spending and the stock market?

A new research paper suggests there is and provides a novel way of measuring consumer spending on a daily basis. Instead of looking at more traditional measures (such as personal income or consumer sentiment) the paper focuses on box office earnings. Read more »


Humans have been trying to time the stock market with fancy indicators since the beginning of time. But do they work? In this article I test five different market timing indicators. They are:

  • Coppock Curve
  • Zweig Breadth Thrust
  • Arms Index (TRIN)
  • McClellan Oscillator
  • No. Of New 52-Week Lows

These market indicators are all available with my historical database from Norgate Data. Read more »


It’s a fair assumption that managers will have a better insight into the financial state of the company they’re running than outside investors. A manager will act and make decisions that are based around what they perceive the outlook for that company to be.

It’s also assumed that when a company makes a corporate action, such as a share buyback, a merger, a dividend or an equity issue, as soon as it’s announced, the market factors that into the price to reflect the potential long term impact of the decision. Read more »


Ray Dalio says that every time he learns something new or makes a mistake in the markets he writes it down so that he can go over it later and learn from it.

I’ve been doing something similar and it does help keep a record of things. Here’s a list of the most important trading lessons that I have learnt over the years. Read more »