In this article I look at some interesting new research from Haoyu Xu that can be useful for both momentum investors and reversal traders.
The research finds that morning returns positively predict next month returns (momentum) while afternoon returns negatively predict next month returns (reversals). Read more »
The 200 day moving average is an extremely popular indicator among traders and trend followers. When a stock is above the 200 day MA, it’s said to be in an uptrend and when it’s below, it’s said to be in a downtrend.
In this article I look at a strategy that buys upward trending stocks as they pull back towards the 200 day moving average line. I test the signal on S&P 500 stocks back to 2000 but I find no real edge to this signal on it’s own. Read more »
The stock market cannot go up forever. At some point there will be another stock market crash and as always there will be some winners and some losers.
In this article, I look at some techniques investors can use during a market crash and reveal two interesting strategies based on a recent academic paper. Read more »
In this article I will show that there is the possibility of a profitable edge when trading breakout stocks on high volume days.
However, the edge requires an ability to foresee such high volume in advance. This is no easy task but the data suggests it could be an interesting line for future research. Read more »
The new course Hedge Fund Trading Systems Part Two is now open for enrolment. This course contains five new trading systems that I have developed.
Each system has been run on robust historical data and shows a consistent, profitable edge in back-testing. The rules for each system are fully explained and the Amibroker source code is also provided. Read more »
All system developers and traders should keep a notepad on their desk so that they can write down their ideas and keep a record of any back-testing that they do. I don’t know what it is, but there is something about writing down on pad and paper that engages the mind far more so than inputting into a spreadsheet. Read more »
Stocks don’t move in a single direction and if you have enough reason to believe that share prices are about to go down, then there are ways to profit from betting against them. However, betting against stocks is much trickier compared to going long and there are several factors to consider before you short. Read more »
In my weekly segment where I take a look at recent trade ideas from across the web and give some of my own picks, I have another batch of setups to keep tabs on. This week we have 7 setups to keep an eye on.
Read more »
If stock picking was as simple as ticking off a few boxes it would be too easy.
However, in the book Thinking Fast and Slow, Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman suggests that simple checklists and algorithms are often more effective than complex models. Read more »
In my weekly segment where I take a look at recent trade ideas from across the web and give some of my own picks, I have another batch of setups to keep tabs on. Read more »