I recently stumbled across an interesting article on the website medium.com which showed some incredible backtest results for a parabolic stock trading system.
The strategy attempts to find explosive, profitable stock trades and was shown to produce a 397.55% net return between 1st January and 12th November 2017.
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30-years ago it was considered irresponsible to use a market timing strategy to try and outperform the S&P 500. In recent years as investors have started to gain increased levels of access to historical data and the tools to develop effective trading models, it might now be considered irresponsible to not use a market timing strategy.
At least that’s what famed investor and gambler Blair Hull believes, and his recent study on building a market timing strategy that predicts future returns, proves exactly that. Read more »
We have a number of trading strategies available on Marwood Research and we have been tracking their performance throughout the year.
Following you will find year-to-date performance of a selection of our trading strategies. Please note that these are all end-of-day, low maintenance strategies. They require very little work and investment of time and can be used as part of a diversified portfolio. Read more »
A reader asked what my thoughts were on bitcoin and what kind of strategies I would recommend to trade this type of market.
I don’t want to get dragged into an opinion piece but I will say that there seem to be an incredible number of amateurs involved in bitcoin which could end badly. Read more »
Some investors focus on momentum stocks. Some look for value. Contrarian traders search out for the most hated or worst performing stocks.
Recently, I came across the following graphic from Bloomberg which shows the 2017 performance of the 10 most shorted stocks in Asia: Read more »
The Money Flow Index indicator (MFI) is an oscillator that uses price and volume to measure momentum. It’s also known as a volume-weighted RSI and can be used in a similar way.
In this article I will be testing a strategy that I found on a popular trading website. Read more »
I’ve been doing some work on volatility products and I’m particularly interested in finding long volatility strategies.
Unfortunately, there are several reasons why betting on volatility going up is difficult:
- Stock markets tend to go up and volatility tends to drop.
- Volatility products that track the VIX suffer from time decay.
- Macroeconomic factors and central banks work to reduce volatility.
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Position sizing is an important topic but many investors don’t give it much thought.
In this article I will look at a method that uses the RSI indicator to size positions. This means we can buy more when the price is low and buy less when the price is high. Read more »
The month of August was characterized by a lack of direction across many of the major stock market indices. Despite any notable trend, several of our premium trading strategies were able to profit and put in a solid month of results. Read more »
The benefits of having a profitable trading system are clear. Wealth generation, freedom, reduced stress. But there are problems too, which most system developers sweep under the carpet.
In this post we will look at some of the disadvantages associated with trading systems. Read more »