All system developers and traders should keep a notepad on their desk so that they can write down their ideas and keep a record of any back-testing that they do. I don’t know what it is, but there is something about writing down on pad and paper that engages the mind far more so than inputting into a spreadsheet. Read more »
In this article I present a simple and quick trading strategy for shorting leveraged ETFs.
Using historical data from Norgate and the back-testing program from Amibroker I reveal a potentially profitable strategy that could benefit from further development. Read more »
It has long been established that the Kelly Formula provides a powerful equation for calculating the optimum level of risk with which to place a bet in a probabilistic type game. A game like blackjack or sports betting. Read more »
Users of Norgate Premium Data are likely aware that some changes are taking place with regards to their historical data subscriptions. These changes have been made to better serve users and eliminate confusion. Read more »
One of the keys to successful system trading is to be able to combine different strategies together. When you are able to combine less correlated strategies, it is possible to smooth drawdown, boost win rate and therefore improve your overall risk-adjusted returns.
In Amibroker it is possible to combine equity curves together so you can see what the advantages are. Read more »
In this article I look at the advantages of a barbell trading strategy and then I put the strategy to the test using historical stock data. As you will see there are some pros and cons to using this technique.
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Conventional wisdom suggests that a reverse stock split is generally bad for a company’s stock. That’s because reverse splits are usually undertaken when a stock is in danger of being delisted.
But is there any actual evidence that reverse stock splits lead to bad investment returns? And if there is, might you be able to make money from shorting reverse split stocks? Read more »
Recently I have been re-reading the book Quantitative Technical Analysis by Dr. Howard Bandy. This is a hefty book filled with quality information and important ideas on the topic of system development. Read more »
There are more ways than one to exit a trade in Amibroker. It may sound obvious but trading strategies can benefit from being creative with exits as well as entries.
In this post, I look at a simple way to come up with more flexible sell signals. Read more »
Several months ago I was thinking about candlestick charts and whether or not these classic patterns had any predictive ability for trading. I had a look around but all I could find were vague speculations and cliches. I couldn’t find any solid evidence of whether they actually worked or not.
So… I thought I would casually test out a few candlestick price patterns and see if any of them actually worked.
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