The world of social media has evolved rapidly in recent years. Traders and investors widely use various platforms both as a means of getting access to news and for trading ideas.
Using social media as a trading indicator isn’t a new concept and the sentiment of tweets from Twitter has previously been shown to lead to outperformance in various different studies. Read more »
In this article I look at some interesting new research from Haoyu Xu that can be useful for both momentum investors and reversal traders.
The research finds that morning returns positively predict next month returns (momentum) while afternoon returns negatively predict next month returns (reversals). Read more »
The 200 day moving average is an extremely popular indicator among traders and trend followers. When a stock is above the 200 day MA, it’s said to be in an uptrend and when it’s below, it’s said to be in a downtrend.
In this article I look at a strategy that buys upward trending stocks as they pull back towards the 200 day moving average line. I test the signal on S&P 500 stocks back to 2000 but I find no real edge to this signal on it’s own. Read more »
In this article I will show that there is the possibility of a profitable edge when trading breakout stocks on high volume days.
However, the edge requires an ability to foresee such high volume in advance. This is no easy task but the data suggests it could be an interesting line for future research. Read more »
Stocks don’t move in a single direction and if you have enough reason to believe that share prices are about to go down, then there are ways to profit from betting against them. However, betting against stocks is much trickier compared to going long and there are several factors to consider before you short. Read more »
Tuesday morning I sent out a tweet to say that we may have seen a top in the stock market. Today, the S&P 500 has just closed down by 1.20%, it’s biggest fall in over 100 days. Read more »
Last week saw the main stock averages continue their upward price run with the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq all posting all-time record highs. Read more »
If stock picking was as simple as ticking off a few boxes it would be too easy.
However, in the book Thinking Fast and Slow, Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman suggests that simple checklists and algorithms are often more effective than complex models. Read more »
In this article I look at the advantages of a barbell trading strategy and then I put the strategy to the test using historical stock data. As you will see there are some pros and cons to using this technique.
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Welcome to a new weekly segment where I take a look at recent trade ideas from across the web and give some of my own picks too. This week, it’s all about Trump’s inauguration and earnings season. Keep reading for some of the best trade ideas that I’ve found. Read more »