In this article I implement Ray Dalio’s All Weather portfolio using popular ETFs and I back-test the strategy using Amibroker. The results show nice risk-adjusted returns for investors.
Whatever your opinions are about the concept of back-testing, there are few better ways to build a trading system than through the back-testing of historical data. Back-testing allows us to answer critical questions like ‘how many positions should I hold in a portfolio?’, ‘how much risk should I take?’ or ‘how effective was this strategy in the past?’
All system developers and traders should keep a notepad on their desk so that they can write down their ideas and keep a record of any back-testing that they do. I don’t know what it is, but there is something about writing down on pad and paper that engages the mind far more so than […]
In this article I present a simple and quick trading strategy for shorting leveraged ETFs. Using historical data from Norgate and the back-testing program from Amibroker I reveal a potentially profitable strategy that could benefit from further development.
It has long been established that the Kelly Formula provides a powerful equation for calculating the optimum level of risk with which to place a bet in a probabilistic type game. A game like blackjack or sports betting.
Update 6/6/2018 Norgate Data latest version has now been officially released. This includes the NDU software and historical constituents databases. This is a great service that I use for all my backtesting in Amibroker. More details are available at the Norgate Data website. —-
One of the keys to successful system trading is to be able to combine different strategies together. When you are able to combine less correlated strategies, it is possible to smooth drawdown, boost win rate and therefore improve your overall risk-adjusted returns. In Amibroker it is possible to combine equity curves together so you can see […]
In this article I look at the advantages of a barbell trading strategy and then I put the strategy to the test using historical stock data. As you will see there are some pros and cons to using this technique.
Conventional wisdom suggests that a reverse stock split is generally bad for a company’s stock. That’s because reverse splits are usually undertaken when a stock is in danger of being delisted. But is there any actual evidence that reverse stock splits lead to bad investment returns? And if there is, might you be able to make money from shorting reverse […]
Recently I have been re-reading the book Quantitative Technical Analysis by Dr. Howard Bandy. This is a hefty book filled with quality information and important ideas on the topic of system development.