On the whole, it’s better to avoid trying to pick market tops and bottoms. If you try and pick the tops and bottoms every single day you’re going to get frustrated very quickly and wind up losing a lot of money.
Monte Carlo analysis involves the use of algorithms to generate random repeated sampling of results. Typically, Monte Carlo is used to run a large number of simulations in order to find the likely probability distribution of an unknown event.
Building an intra day trading system for trading futures, stocks, or forex is no easy task and many would say that in today’s markets it’s simply not possible. For one thing, the markets are not at all like they used to be.
Small cap stocks, or stocks with low volume, can be attractive for some traders who are looking for companies that the rest of the market might be ignoring. If a stock has low volume, it can often be near a reversal point as buying or selling peters out. Similarly, small cap, micro-cap, and penny stocks […]
Online education seems to be a rapidly growing movement. Indeed, massive open online courses (or MOOCs) are a brilliant thing as they allow people from all over the world access to high quality education for little or no cost. Here are six free stock market courses for beginners that you can find online:
Designing a trading system is about following the right processes and being conservative in your assumptions. I have already talked about the pitfalls of selection bias and I’ve spoken of the importance of stress-testing a trading system thoroughly. Now I shall answer the question ‘what is slippage’ and how does slippage affect trading system performance.
Sometimes when creating content for this blog, I like to look at the Google Keyword Tool to get an idea of what people are searching for. It seems that every month a fair amount of people search for the phrase ‘how to trade stocks online free’ or some other variant. In my view, this is […]
In order to back-test and optimise a trading system you’ll need at least two things; a back-testing platform like Amibroker, and some historical stock market data. When it comes to historical stock data there are plenty of options available depending on what you want to do. Historical stock market data for Amibroker Amibroker comes with […]
I spoke previously about the dangers of survivorship bias and the relevance of start date. I also spoke about the need to keep data out of sample and to keep the number of optimisable parameters as low as possible in order to avoid data mining. As well, I mentioned how the only true out of […]
Day Trading Futures For A Living I worked as a futures day trader for a year between 2008-2009. It wasn’t a particularly good time to start in the markets because the volatility from the credit crunch was intense. Having said that, some experienced day traders really benefitted from the increased volatility and made a lot […]