Back in January 2017, Donald Trump had just become President and most pundits were forecasting a year of stock market volatility and interest rate hikes.
As it turned out (despite terrorist attacks, natural disasters and provocative tweets) 2017 finished as one of the least volatile years in history. Read more »
There is substantial evidence that high volatility stocks earn abnormally low returns while low volatility stocks are lower risk and thus a better choice for investors.
In this article, I take a look at the facts and present a number of strategies. The best of which is to buy low volatility stocks in low volatility environments. Read more »
I recently stumbled across an interesting article on the website medium.com which showed some incredible backtest results for a parabolic stock trading system.
The strategy attempts to find explosive, profitable stock trades and was shown to produce a 397.55% net return between 1st January and 12th November 2017.
Read more »
At the time of writing, bitcoin prices were touching $15,000 having previously hit a high of $17,000 intraday. The cryptocurrency is seemingly unstoppable at this point and could well be the biggest bubble of our lifetime.
The latest price increase is wild and comes as the CME and CBOE prepare to launch bitcoin futures next week. This development is likely to bring a new dimension to the bitcoin market and no-one knows how it will pan out. Read more »
Today’s trading edge is to go short GBTC stock (ticker symbol for the GBTC Investment Trust) and go long bitcoin in order to profit from the substantial spread between the two products.
This spread is predicted to close once Bitcoin futures go live on the CBOE and CME futures exchanges in a few days time. Read more »
30-years ago it was considered irresponsible to use a market timing strategy to try and outperform the S&P 500. In recent years as investors have started to gain increased levels of access to historical data and the tools to develop effective trading models, it might now be considered irresponsible to not use a market timing strategy.
At least that’s what famed investor and gambler Blair Hull believes, and his recent study on building a market timing strategy that predicts future returns, proves exactly that. Read more »
We have a number of trading strategies available on Marwood Research and we have been tracking their performance throughout the year.
Following you will find year-to-date performance of a selection of our trading strategies. Please note that these are all end-of-day, low maintenance strategies. They require very little work and investment of time and can be used as part of a diversified portfolio. Read more »
When times are good the economy is strong and everyone has more money to spend. So is there any relationship between consumer spending and the stock market?
A new research paper suggests there is and provides a novel way of measuring consumer spending on a daily basis. Instead of looking at more traditional measures (such as personal income or consumer sentiment) the paper focuses on box office earnings. Read more »
One of the hardest things to do in investing is to buy the market as it makes yet another new high.
Intuitively it makes little sense. The only way to profit in the stock market is to sell something for more than you paid for it so why would you buy something that has been going up for the last eight years? Read more »
Some investors focus on momentum stocks. Some look for value. Contrarian traders search out for the most hated or worst performing stocks.
Recently, I came across the following graphic from Bloomberg which shows the 2017 performance of the 10 most shorted stocks in Asia: Read more »